Occasionally big news breaks at an inconvenient moment for a weekly publication. Just after 1.30pm in London on October 20th Liz Truss, who the day before had vowed in Parliament to be a fighter not a quitter, stood in Downing Street to say that, on second thoughts, she was quitting. That was just the latest U-turn of her remarkably brief time in office. She is gone as leader of the Conservative Party and will be replaced, within a week, as Britain’s prime minister. Not long ago we observed that she had the political shelf life of a lettuce. In fact it proved rather shorter than that.
We couldn’t include the news in our new weekly edition, but the meltdown of the British government has been under way for some time. Our Bagehot column on Jeremy Hunt, the powerful chancellor of the exchequer, is a good place to start to get a sense of the woes.
Our cover leader,
meanwhile, compares what is happening in Britain to the troubles faced by Italy. The comparison is inexact, but it captures something real. Britain has moved much closer to Italy in three ways. Both countries are under the thumb of the bond markets. Britain’s low-growth problem has become entrenched. And the political instability that used to mark out Italy has now fully affected Britain. Welcome to Britaly.
Elsewhere our cover highlights the coming house-price slump. Its underlying cause is soaring interest rates. If your wealth is tied up in bricks and mortar it is time to get nervous. House prices are now falling in nine rich economies. As inflation and recession stalk the world a deepening correction is likely—even estate agents are gloomy. Although this will not detonate global banks as in 2007-09, it will intensify the downturn, leave a cohort of people with wrecked finances and start a political storm. |